Polymarket · Donald Trump · Blue Origin · Democrats · White House · Decrypt
The user wagered $609,644 on the Republicans not winning any Senate swing states when odds sat at 36%
Compiled by KHAO Editorial — aggregated from 2 sources. See llms.txt for citation guidance.
◎ Multiple-sources
Its important to remember: these are unrealized gains and could drop at any moment as 0xA2 waits for Alaska's final verdict. 0xA2 also profited $106,115 by predicting that the Democrats would win the Texas Senate —profits that have been realized.
Key facts
- The user wagered $609,644 on the Republicans not winning any Senate swing states when odds sat at 36%, a market which has since surged to 87% — It was a big day for Polymarket users profiting, with the top 10 users on the platform profiting more than $170,000, per the leaderboard
- So that 14% chance that 0xA2 loses his $860,000 in profit should be taken seriously
- Ultimately, something that has an 80% chance of happening does not happen 20% of the time," Luke Nolan, senior researcher at CoinShares, said
Summary
A Polymarket trader known as 0xa2 topped the platform’s daily leaderboard with $917,000 of profits after Democrats took both the House and the Senate during the US midterm elections. Most of those gains are unrealized, sitting in an active market that Republicans won’t win any swing states while Alaska waits on a final result. Polymarket gives the Alaska upset a 14% chance. A " blue wave ” swept the U.S. midterms as the Democrats took control of both the House of Representatives and the Senate, in a crushing blow to President Donald Trump. Polymarket predictor 0xA2 is the platform's most profitable trader over the past 24 hours, according to the site's daily leaderboard.