Republicans · White House · Axios
If Democrats take the open Lexington-based seat (Trump +15), Republicans will be downing their bourbon
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Moving west: Polls close in Ohio at 7:30pm and Texas at 8pm ET, but Texas counts faster.
Key facts
- VA-02 could tell them whether a strong Republican candidate can survive a Democratic wave, and whether Speaker Mike Johnson can keep his job
- If Democrats take the open Lexington-based seat (Trump +15), Republicans will be downing their bourbon
- Moving west: Polls close in Ohio at 7:30pm and Texas at 8pm ET, but Texas counts faster
- You won't need to stay up all night Tuesday to spot a big Democratic wave in the 2026 midterm elections
Summary
You won't need to stay up all night Tuesday to spot a big Democratic wave in the 2026 midterm elections. But it could take days, or even weeks, to know whether Republicans have survived a smaller one and held on to the House or Senate. A handful of early results in key states and congressional districts will tell them whether Democrats are headed for a landslide or disappointment. Florida, Florida, Florida. Most polls close at 7pm ET, and the state counts quickly, ready for release when the Panhandle finally calls it a night an hour later.