Bitcoin · Bitcoin ETF · Crypto Briefing
Bitcoin’s volatility is falling, but its extreme price swings now outpace 2018
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Average price swings have cooled to multi-cycle lows while sudden jumps have become more frequent than during the 2018 bear market.
Key facts
- Bitcoin hit an all-time high around $126,200 in October 2025
- For long-term investors, shallower drawdowns of around 53% compared to historical drops of 70-82% make Bitcoin easier to size into a diversified portfolio without one bad year sinking the whole
- Previous cycles saw the asset shed 70-82% after hitting a peak
- Volatility tied to sudden price jumps has climbed by 71% compared to the first year of spot Bitcoin ETF trading
Summary
Realized volatility measures how much an asset’s price moved over a given period. Implied volatility has followed the same downward path. Then there is the less comfortable statistic. Bitcoin hit an all-time high around $126,200 in October 2025.