Donald Trump · Democrats · Republicans · Axios
Latino men swung hard to Trump in 2024. Now they're swinging back
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Latino voters, whose dramatic shift toward President Trump helped power his 2024 victory, are moving sharply back toward Democrats ahead of the midterms, two new national polls show.
Key facts
- A new NBC News/Telemundo poll found Latino voters preferred Democratic control of Congress 59%–35%, a 24-point advantage, double the margin the same poll found in 2024
- Latino voters, whose dramatic shift toward President Trump helped power his 2024 victory, are moving sharply back toward Democrats ahead of the midterms, two new national polls show
- Stunning stat: About one in seven Latino voters who say they backed Trump in 2024 now want Democrats to take control of Congress
- Republicans built pieces of their 2026 strategy, including newly drawn House districts in Texas and Florida, around the assumption that Trump's historic Latino gains would endure
Summary
Republicans built pieces of their 2026 strategy, including newly drawn House districts in Texas and Florida, around the assumption that Trump's historic Latino gains would endure. Trump's breakthrough with Latino men was among the clearest signs of a changing GOP coalition in 2024. A new NBC News/Telemundo poll found Latino voters preferred Democratic control of Congress 59%–35%, a 24-point advantage, double the margin the same poll found in 2024. A new CBS News/YouGov poll tells the same story: Hispanic likely voters favor Democratic House candidates 60%–39%.