Bitcoin · Federal Reserve (FED) · Kevin Warsh · Decrypt
October 2025 closed down 3.69%, only the third red October since 2013
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The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points on Sept. 16, to a range of 3.75% to 4%.
Key facts
- The week of Sept. 21 pulled in roughly $2.4 billion, including a $999 million day
- Today's daily candlestick opened at $83,588.27 and has ranged between $83,134.08 and $84,360.88
- The September jobs report arrives Oct. 2, FOMC minutes on Oct. 7, CPI on Oct. 14, and the Fed decision on Oct. 28
- The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points on Sept. 16, to a range of 3.75% to 4%
Summary
Bitcoin trades at $83,823 on the daily chart. Myriad traders put 48% odds on a $90,000 Bitcoin high in October and 7% on a new all-time high before 2027. The Fed hiked rates to 3.75%-4% on Sept. 16 and the 10-year yield hit 5.289%, while spot ETFs logged $148.69 million in outflows on Sept. 30. It’s the start of October, otherwise known as “Uptober” in crypto circles for its historically stellar market performance, marking the end of “ Red September ”—which turned out not to be so red after all. Bitcoin is starting October at $83,823, up 0.28% on the day, after a September that was on pace to be its best on record—until the last moment.