Axios · Republicans · Donald Trump · Iran · Axios
GOP election outlook goes from bad to "craptastic"
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President Trump told voters to pretend he's on the ballot.
Key facts
- On the House side, the Cook Political Report moved 15 House races toward Democrats on Friday
- Bush's tenure in 2006, the consultant said, amid the Iraq war and the botched response to Hurricane Katrina
- One Trump adviser downplayed the GOP tremors, pointing to the Republicans' massive cash advantage
- President Trump told voters to pretend he's on the ballot
Summary
It's looked bad for Republicans all year, but this week felt different, like the political environment was disintegrating in real time, one ominous data point after another. Most worrisome for the GOP, there's virtually no chance the war ends, inflation cools, interest rates fall, consumer confidence rises, and economic optimism surges before the Nov. 3 election. That's why Republicans fear the undertow imperils so many candidates once deemed safe. Predicting election outcomes is a risky business, but it may be time to expand the imagination of how ugly it could get for Republicans five weeks from now. This week, Trump's disapproval rating hit 60.4%, the worst mark of his two terms in office, including the aftermath of the Jan. 6 riots.