Polymarket · OpenAI · GPT · Decrypt
Markets Confident OpenAI Publishes Its Next AI Model in Weeks
Compiled by KHAO Editorial — aggregated from 1 source. See llms.txt for citation guidance.
★ Tier-1 Source
Prediction market traders are pretty sure OpenAI is cooking, and it's next big AI model could be coming sooner than you might think.
Key facts
- The Sept. 15 contract shows 59% at about $27,600 in volume; the Sept. 30 contract sits near 72% on $35,600
- Back in July, odds of a public GPT-6 release by September 30 were at around 78%
- A market for the most likely release date of OpenAI’s upcoming model Astra, the company's internal name for GPT-6, gives a 59% chance of launching by September 15 and roughly 72% by month's end
- On Myriad, a prediction market maintained by Decrypt ’s parent company Dastan, the larger odds point to September 30 as the most likely deadline for GPT-6
Summary
OpenAI said Aug. 7 it slowed Astra's rollout after internal tests showed cyber capabilities it can't rule out as "Critical". Prediction market traders are betting big on an Astra release by Sept. 30. The model, reportedly OpenAI's GPT-6, hasn't been given a public date. A market for the most likely release date of OpenAI’s upcoming model Astra, the company's internal name for GPT-6, gives a 59% chance of launching by September 15 and roughly 72% by month's end on Polymarket.