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Blocks on this minority chain would confirm significantly slower than usual, maybe one or two per hour

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Aaron van Wirdum.

And after a few months the mining difficulty would adjust, so blocks are found (closer to) six times per hour again.

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Summary

Author’s note: In their view BIP110 is both useless and harmful, and the reporter does expect it to fail (see scenario 1). The OP_RETURN debate has escalated to the point where Bitcoin Knots implemented BIP110: a consensus protocol change that temporarily limits the size of OP_RETURNs and intends to reduce other types of data on Bitcoin’s blockchain as well. Nevertheless, BIP110-nodes like Bitcoin Knots will soon, starting from block 961,632, to be mined on or around August 8, reject blocks that don’t signal support for the upgrade. Scenario 1: (almost) no miners signal If current miner signaling is any indication, this is the scenario to expect. The same is not true for anyone running Bitcoin Knots or other BIP110-enforcing nodes, however. Such a hard fork would possibly allow for mining with GPUs again, therefore letting more people mine new blocks to generate a blockchain with the BIP110 rules enforced.

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