San Francisco · Anthropic · OpenAI · Nvidia · China · U.S. · The Guardian Technology
A viral doomsday scenario aims to shake Europe out of its AI complacency
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It’s 2031 and the US and China are about to tear Europe into pieces.
Key facts
- The Americans spend huge sums on a massive AI building programme, the scenario highlights a real-life $100bn (£75bn) deal between OpenAI and Nvidia, the $300bn agreement between OpenAI and Oracle
- Maximilian Negele contributed to Europe 2031, he says, because of the “incredible translation barrier” between Brussels and San Francisco, where AI is being developed
- The $100bn agreement between OpenAI and Nvidia, the biggest AI deal of last year, evaporated in February
- It’s 2031 and the US and China are about to tear Europe into pieces
Summary
The US ploughed vast sums into datacentres and the EU did not. Now the chickens are coming home to roost. Europe’s economy is a shambles because it does not have its own AI. That, at least, is the vision of a speculative thought experiment, called Europe 2031, penned by Brussels-based thinktankers and published fortuitously one day before the Trump administration decided to block “foreign nationals” from using a much-hyped AI model built by Anthropic, called Fable. In the heady week of G7 talks that followed, the scenario has gone viral, feeding a feverish discussion of the urgency for EU tech sovereignty.