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Kalshi Traders Price Fable 5 Return at 68% Before July 1 After Historic AI Ban
Compiled by KHAO Editorial — aggregated from 3 sources. See llms.txt for citation guidance.
◎ Multiple-sources
It’s been reported that Amazon CEO Andy Jassy alerted senior Trump administration officials to security findings from his company’s internal research team, setting off a chain of events that ended with the U.S. Commerce Department ordering Anthropic to shut down its two most advanced artificial intelligence (AI) models for every customer on the planet.
Key facts
- On June 12, 2026, the Commerce Department issued an export control directive requiring Anthropic to suspend access to Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5 for any foreign national, whether inside
- On Polymarket, three date-based contracts opened June 13 with a combined $18,263 in trading volume
- Anthropic said no universal jailbreak exists across Fable 5 or Mythos 5 despite extensive red-teaming with the U.S. government, the UK AI Safety Institute, and third parties
- Kalshi traders are running similar contracts totaling $6,419 in 24-hour volume
Summary
Commerce Department ordering Anthropic to shut down its two most advanced artificial intelligence (AI) models for every customer on the planet. Amazon CEO Andy Jassy reportedly flagged Fable 5 jailbreak findings to Trump officials on June 12, triggering a global shutdown. Polymarket traders price a 71% chance that Anthropic restores Fable 5 access by July 1, 2026. Anthropic called the Commerce Department directive a “misunderstanding,” vowing to restore access as soon as possible. On June 12, 2026, the Commerce Department issued an export control directive requiring Anthropic to suspend access to Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5 for any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States.