Polymarket · Claude · Donald Trump · Iran · Strait of Hormuz · Wall Street · Bitcoin.com News
Iranian state media advised readers to treat Trump’s claims skeptically until Tehran issues a formal statement
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◎ Multiple-sources
Trump on June 12 dismissed leaked Iranian versions of the deal’s terms as fabrications, writing: “The terms that Iran leaked out to the Fake News have NOTHING to do with the terms that were agreed to, in writing.
Key facts
- At the time of writing, bitcoin is trading at $63,440, reflecting a modest 2.9% gain over the past week
- The standoff stems from Operation Epic Fury on Feb. 28, 2026, when U.S. and Israeli forces struck Iranian nuclear and military sites
- A separate Polymarket market on whether Trump officially declares the April ceasefire over shows June 15 at 1% and June 30 at 10%, signaling traders see continued de-escalation as the more likely
- Polymarket ‘s market tracking whether the U.S. officially announces a new Iran agreement or ceasefire extension has generated $47.1 million in total trading volume since its May 23 launch
Summary
U.S. President Donald Trump declared Saturday that a landmark agreement with Iran will be signed on Sunday, June 14, with the Strait of Hormuz reopening to all shipping immediately afterward, but Iranian officials quickly disputed that timeline. Trump posted on Truth Social that the so-called Iran deal signing is set for June 14, with the Hormuz Strait reopening immediately after. Iranian spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei denied a Sunday signing, citing U.S. instability as talks continue into late June 2026. Polymarket traders assigned June 14 a 39% chance, with $47.1M total volume favoring a July 31 resolution at 89%. Trump posted Saturday on Truth Social that his agreement with Iran represents the opposite of the Obama-era JCPOA, which he called a pathway to an Iranian nuclear bomb.