Bitcoin volatility is down 56% but analysts still expect up to 20% BTC price move
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Bitcoin’s sharp volatility decline coincides with a 114-day trading range, setting the stage for a potential 10% to 20% price move, but the direction remains uncertain.
Key facts
CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn said Bitcoin has spent 114 days trading within a broad range of $60,000 and $80,000, while the Bitcoin volatility index has dropped toward multi-month lows near 0.90
At the same time, wallets holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC accumulated 55,450 BTC on May 30, marking their strongest accumulation activity since February
Retail inflows increased by $3.6 billion, surpassing the $2 billion rise from whale wallets
Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr. said that BTC’s one-week realized volatility, smoothed over a 30-day period, has fallen to 17.2% from 39% this quarter, a 56% decline
Summary
Bitcoin's realized volatility has fallen to 17.2%, one of its lowest levels in recent months. Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr. said that BTC’s one-week realized volatility, smoothed over a 30-day period, has fallen to 17.2% from 39% this quarter, a 56% decline. The realized volatility, which measures how much the price has moved over a given period, sits well below its long-term median of 40%. However, the metric does not indicate direction.