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Fox News: US-Iran agreement delayed days as Trump extends deadline for language finalization

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Fox News: US-Iran deal delayed days as Trump extends deadline for language finalization.

The May 25 and May 26 sub-markets for a U.S.-Iran agreement have collapsed to 8.5% and 16.5% YES respectively, down from 52% and 60% 24 hours prior.

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Summary

The May 25 and May 26 sub-markets for a U.S.-Iran agreement have collapsed to 8.5% and 16.5% YES respectively, down from 52% and 60% 24 hours prior. – Pricing appears consistent with markets absorbing an explicit U.S. official statement that no deal will land on May 24 or May 25., The sharp drop in near-term sub-markets suggests market participants view the Fox News report as high-impact confirmation of a delayed timeline, not a collapsed negotiation., The June 7 sub-market’s relative resilience at 59% YES appears consistent with the characterization that 95% of substance is resolved. Fox News, citing unnamed U.S. officials, reported Saturday that no U.S.-Iran agreement would be announced “today or tomorrow,” with President Trump extending Iran several additional days to finalize language. The sourcing originates from social media aggregator, placing it at Tier 3 reliability.

Watch for any formal statement from Steve Witkoff or Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi confirming or denying a revised meeting date.

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