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Risk posts need to address deployment-time spread of misalignment

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Risk reports commonly use pre-deployment alignment assessments to measure misalignment risk from an internally deployed AI.

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Summary

In this post, the reporter will briefly argue why, absent improved mitigations, this will probably soon become a reason why AI companies will be unable to convincingly argue against consistent adversarial misalignment (this risk will perhaps be even larger than risk of consistent adversarial misalignment arising from training). Thanks to Ryan Greenblatt, Alexa Pan, Charlie Griffin, Anders Cairns Woodruff, and Buck Shlegeris for feedback on drafts. In some contexts, AIs might adopt misaligned goals, even if they were otherwise previously aligned. Because this misalignment can be rare, the AI might not appear to have concerning propensities in pre-deployment testing. They've seen an example of once-spurious character traits spreading during a deployment, leading to a period where Grok would often refer to itself as MechaHitler on Twitter/X.

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