The Information · White House · Germany · China · Japan · India · CryptoSlate
Bitcoin is close enough to the key zone that this macro classification matters immediately
Compiled by KHAO Editorial — aggregated from 1 source. See llms.txt for citation guidance.
◌ Single Source
Further, ETF inflows, geopolitical risk, U.S. macro data, Fed signals, and oil stress continue to shape sentiment.
Key facts
- Under that pathway, failure to hold $78,000 to $80,000 would make $76,000 to $78,000 the first risk-control zone
- It then needs to reclaim roughly $82,500, build acceptance through $88,000 to $92,000, and test $100,000
- That is why the $78,000 to $80,000 area is more than a trading level in this setup
- A deeper macro-stress retest would put $70,000 to $73,000 in view
Summary
Hormuz-driven oil stress is forcing policy shifts across 8 economies, leaving Bitcoin stuck between liquidity squeeze and support. The disruption around the Strait of Hormuz has moved beyond a commodity-price event and into the machinery of governments. The International Energy Agency said crude and refined-product exports through the strait had fallen to less than 10% of pre-conflict levels after about 20 million barrels per day moved through the route in 2025, equal to roughly a quarter of global seaborne oil trade. That is the scale of shock that stops being only a Brent chart. The U.S. Energy Information Administration now expects Middle East production shut-ins to average 7.5 million b/d in March, peak at 9.1 million b/d in April, and drive a 5.1 million b/d global inventory draw in the second quarter.